Everything I say can and will be used against me in a court of social media. Tweets in English and Hebrew.

Joined January 2021
Another example why you shouldn't trust official Israeli corona data.
Data-skewing mechanisms to inflate numbers of positive COVID cases among unvaccinated individuals in relation to vaccinated individuals upon arrival at the hospital. A memo from the Israeli Ministry of Health (IMOH) to hospital directors indicates how this works. >>>
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Correlation does not _imply_ causation, but ... it does require a closer look, because some sort of causal relation might actually exist; @daridor predicted Israel will be the only country with high excess omicron death. And credit for data graphed below also goes to @OS51388957
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George OhWell retweeted
We (Dr, Leibowitz,Dr. Schurr and Hirsch) recently published a letter ןמ NEJM in which we show that a certain type of severe side effect (‘severe NSAE’) to the Pfizer-Biontech covid-19 vaccine was not reported in the pivotal trial describing results of the randomized trial in kids
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1/3 I usually tweet about Israeli MOH data being unreliable, but I think NYC is taking the cake with this one - The linked preprint (not yet peer reviewed, but reported on in the media) claims efficiency for 5-11 is down to 12%. Is that bad? medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/…
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2/3 12% is bad, but the real data says -41%. It's in the paper, hidden in a graph on the last page, with a comment: "Negative VE values observed in later timepoints likely reflect estimator instability and/or residual confounding, as opposed to true relatively- increased risk".
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3/3 Now, why would they suspect that (and not even mention in the article text)? The decay in OR seems completely in line with the early weeks, which they somehow trust. So ... does anyone have a reasonable explanation?
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Addendum: This is supported by Israeli MOH data - "actively sick per 100K" the 5-11 group has 540 unvaccinated (cyan) to 851 vaccinated (dark green) for -36% VE. In fact, in this graph VE stays negative until age 20. snapshot taken 5 mins ago. h/t @MatanHolzer
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George OhWell retweeted
Israeli 🇮🇱 Ministry of Health published age-adjusted mortality numbers from 2006 to 2021. Good luck finding the once-in-a-century pandemic... 🧐
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George OhWell retweeted
@Telegraph tries to explain why Israel, unlike UK, still has covid waves of same magnitude, despite being always first to vaccinate its people by vaccine which according to them decreases the risk by 90%. one of his suggestions is worth elaboration >> telegraph.co.uk/global-healt…
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An informative thread from Ori Xabi, translated by @GalG____ ; Please note that the rambam text mentions "stillbirths and miscarriages", not just stillbirths; The text does not make the exact definition clear. so cannot be compared to other data - but vax/unvax comp seems valid
1/ Adv. Ori Xabi just posted on Facebook important information reg. vaccines + stillbirth: —————— “We received data from Rambam Hospital after a request under the FOIA. And these are the results:
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An excellent thread from Gal. Hebrew sources up the thread, English translation starts here and continues.
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George OhWell retweeted
How it started: A battle against the pandemic to protect the people. How it's going: A battle against the people to protect the pandemic.
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George OhWell retweeted
Spain:Huge non-covid excess deaths since July. In Q3: non-covid excess was 1.38x Covid. In Q4: non-covid excess was 2.3x Covid. There can only be two reasons: (1) vaccine-derived deaths; (2) unrecorded Covid deaths.Delays in treatment cannot be, because the excess would be linear
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It's the end of the world as we know it, and Gantz feels fine.
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A masterclass from @MatanHolzer on the problems with exponential modelling (and a specific modeler).
Exec. brief for discussion between @MLevitt_NP2013 & @segal_eran: * Segal initially predicted about 2-4 million infected (or cases?⬇️) [1]. Very wide CI * Now uses bottom edge - 2 million [2] * Exponential model - doubling every 4-5 days, then sudden decrease [3] (mechanism?)
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George OhWell retweeted
Imagine someone tells you that there is an emergency and they need to borrow your car for 15 days. Two years pass, and they still have no criteria for the emergency ending, and no plans to give you back your car. They didn't borrow your car. They stole it. Time to realize that.
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George OhWell retweeted
Our society is obsessed with univariate analyses of multivariate issues, and framing everything as binaries (except gender). It's actually a huge problem.
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George OhWell retweeted
Does it LOOK like we are in a pandemic? Does it FEEL like we are in a pandemic? Do you fire healthcare workers DURING a pandemic? Are otherwise HEALTHY people dropping dead left, right, and centre? No. The pandemic is on TV and in some people's psyches.
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